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A-15 (174) M. Dessokey, Statistical Models of the Seismic Hazard Analysis for Mining Tremors and Natural Earthquakes

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Abstract, 3

1. Introduction, 5

1.1 Natural seismicity, 5

1.2 Induced seismicity, 7

1.3 Seismic hazard, 9

1.4 The aim of the study, 14

2. Extreme value models for earthquakes occurrence, 15

2.1 Model I. The first Gumbel distribution, 16

2.2 Model II. The third Gumbel distribution, 18

2.3 Model III. The triple exponential distribution, 19

2.4 Model IV. Johnson s SB transformation, 21

2.5 Estimation of the distribution s parameters, 22

2.6 Test of goodness of fit, 23

3. Seismic hazard and return periods calculations for mines in Poland, 24

3.1 The Wujek mine, 25

3.2 The Szombierki mine, 35

3.3 The Lubin copper mine, 41

4. Seismic hazard and return periods for global earthquakes, 53

4.1 Turkey, 53

4.2 China, 59

4.3 The Wanganui region in New Zealand, 65

Summary and conclusion, 71

References, 74

Streszczenie, 81


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