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E-1 (295) Z. Kaczmarek, J. Napi├│rkowski, D. Jurak, Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in Poland

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1. Introduction, 3

2. Climate scenarios, 8

3. Changes in runoff and other water balance components, 11

4. Impact of climate change on water management, 18

4.1 Introduction, 18

4.2 Assessment of future water demands, 20

4.3 Upper Vistula water supply system, 21

4.4 Jeziorsko reservoir system, 25

4.5 Two-level optimization technique, 27

4.6 Comparison by simulation, 28

4.7 Optimization results and conclusions, 30

4.8 Remarks on possible adaptation options, 36

5. Impact of climate change on Poland┬┤s aquatic ecosystems, 39

5.1 Climate change and water quality management, 39

5.2 Impact of climate change on temperature and evaporation of shallow lakes, 41

5.3 Thermal regime of a stratified Masurian lake, 44

6. Final remarks, 48

References, 50


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