- A - Physics of the Earth's Interior
- B - Seismology
-
C - Geomagnetism
C-118, C-117, C-116, C-115, C-114, C-113, C-112, C-111, C-110, C-109, C-108, C-107, C-106, C-105, C-104, C-103, C-102, C-101, C-100, C-99, C-98, C-97, C-96, C-95, C-94, C-93, C-92, C-91, C-90, C-89, C-88, C-87, C-86, C-85, C-84, C-83, C-82, C-81, C-80, C-79, C-78, C-77, C-76, C-75, C-74, C-73, C-72, C-71, C-70, C-69, C-68, C-67, C-66, C-65, C-64, C-63, C-62, C-61, C-60, C-59, C-58, C-57, C-56, C-55, C-54, C-53, C-52, C-51, C-50, C-49, C-48, C-47, C-46, C-45, C-44, C-43, C-42, C-41, C-40, C-39, C-38, C-37, C-36, C-35, C-33, C-32, C-31, C-30, C-29, C-28, C-27, C-26, C-25, C-24, C-23, C-22, C-21, C-20, C-19, C-18, C-17, C-16, C-15, C-14, C-13, C-12, C-11, C-10, C-9, C-8, C-7, C-6, C-5, C-4, C-3, C-2, C-1
-
D - Physics of the Atmosphere
D-79, D-78, D-77, D-76, D-75, D-74, D-73, D-72, D-71, D-70, D-69, D-68, D-67, D-66, D-65, D-64, D-63, D-62, D-61, D-60, D-59, D-58, D-57, D-56, D-55, D-54, D-53, D-52, D-51, D-50, D-49, D-48, D-47, D-46, D-44, D-45, D-43, D-42, D-41, D-40, D-39, D-38, D-37, D-35, D-34, D-33, D-32, D-31, D-30, D-28, D-27, D-26, D-25, D-24, D-23, D-22, D-21, D-20, D-19, D-18, D-17, D-16, D-15, D-14, D-13, D-12, D-11, D-10, D-9, D-8, D-7, D-6, D-5, D-4, D-3, D-2, D-1
- E - Hydrology
- P - Polar Research
- M - Miscellanea
-
Online First
Statistical Models of the Seismic Hazard Analysis for Mining Tremors and Natural Earthquakes
Volume: 174
Series: A-15
Seismic hazard and return periods are evaluated using four distribution models of the largest magnitudes of earthquakes: the first Gumbel, third Gumbel, triple exponential and Johnson distributions. The methods of least squares and maximum likelihood are used for estimating the parameters of the models.
The models are applied to study the induced and natural seismicity. Three localities in Poland, namely the Wujek, Lubin and Szombierki mines, which used to be hit by tremors connected with excavation, were chosen to study the induced seismicity. To study natural earthquakes, three examples are analysed: Turkey, which is a wide area with differentiated tectonic features; China, in which we are dealing with historical data; and Wanagui area in New Zealand, in which local seismicity is observed in a small, tectonically homogeneous region.
For every area the return periods for different magnitudes are calculated and compared for the different models.
CONTENTS
Abstract, ...3
1. Introduction, ...5
1.1 Natural seismicity, ...5
1.2 Induced seismicity, ...7
1.3 Seismic hazard, ...9
1.4 The aim of the study, ...14
2. Extreme value models for earthquakes occurrence, ...15
2.1 Model I. The first Gumbel distribution, ...16
2.2 Model II. The third Gumbel distribution, ...18
2.3 Model III. The triple exponential distribution, ...19
2.4 Model IV. Johnson s SB transformation, ...21
2.5 Estimation of the distribution s parameters, ...22
2.6 Test of goodness of fit, ...23
3. Seismic hazard and return periods calculations for mines in Poland, ...24
3.1 The Wujek mine, ...25
3.2 The Szombierki mine, ...35
3.3 The Lubin copper mine, ...41
4. Seismic hazard and return periods for global earthquakes, ...53
4.1 Turkey, ...53
4.2 China, ...59
4.3 The Wanganui region in New Zealand, ...65
Summary and conclusion, ...71
References, ...74
Streszczenie, ...81